Stagflation: When Inflation and Unemployment Rise Together

Stagflation: When Inflation and Unemployment Rise Together

By Britney Houston
|
June 28, 2024

Introduction

Most people understand that inflation erodes purchasing power, making goods and services more expensive. We also know that unemployment, while a complex issue, generally signals a decline in economic activity. But what happens when these two economic woes collide? Enter stagflation, a term coined in the 1960s, a period of simultaneous high inflation and high unemployment. This toxic combination presents unique challenges for individuals, businesses, and policymakers alike.

Stagflation often takes root when the economy faces a supply shock, such as rapidly increasing energy prices or disruptions in global supply chains. These shocks can lead to reduced production and job losses, contributing to higher unemployment. Simultaneously, the limited supply of goods and services, coupled with increased production costs, fuels inflation.

The Impacts of Stagflation

Stagflation presents a dilemma for policymakers. Traditional economic tools often prove ineffective in combating this dual threat. For instance, increasing interest rates to curb inflation can potentially worsen unemployment by slowing down economic growth. Similarly, government spending aimed at boosting employment might exacerbate inflation.

Navigating Stagflation: Strategies for Individuals

The uncertainty and economic hardship brought on by stagflation can be daunting. However, there are strategies individuals can adopt to mitigate the impacts:

  • Budgeting and Saving: Creating a realistic budget and identifying areas to reduce expenses becomes crucial during periods of high inflation.
  • Investing Wisely: Diversifying investments to hedge against inflation is essential. Assets like real estate, commodities, and certain stocks have historically performed better during inflationary periods.
  • Upskilling and Education: With unemployment a concern, investing in skills development and education can enhance job prospects and earning potential.